内容简介

Geopolitical Alpha – An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so. Persuasively written by author, investment strategist, and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic, the book applies a novel framework for making sense of the cacophony of geopolitical risks with the eye towards generating investment-relevant insights.

Geopolitical Alpha posits that investors should ignore the media-hyped narratives, insights from "smoke-filled rooms," and most of their political consultants and, instead, focus exclusively on the measurable, material constraints facing policymakers.In the tug-of-war between policymaker preferences and their constraints, the latter always win out in the end. Papic uses a wealth of examples from the past decade to illustrate how one can use his constraint-framework to generate Geopolitical Alpha. In the process, the book discusses:

What paradigm shifts will drive investment returns over the next decade

Why investment and corporate professionals can no longer treat geopolitics as an exogenous risk

How to ignore the media and focus on what drives market narratives that generate returns

Perfect for investors, C-suite executives, and investment professionals, Geopolitical Alpha belongs on the shelf of anyone interested in the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and finance.

作者简介

Marko Papic

Partner & Chief Strategist

Clocktower Group

Marko is a Partner and Chief Strategist at Clocktower Group, an alternative investment asset management firm based in Santa Monica, California. He leads the firm's Strategy Team, providing bespoke research to clients and partners on geopolitics, macroeconomics, and markets.

Prior to joining the firm, Marko founded BCA Rese...

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精彩摘录

Inthebattleofideas,theThatcher/Reagansupply-side-laissez-faire-wonasdecisiveavictoryoverMitterrand'sdemand-side-dirigisme-asonecouldimagine.Votersandpolicymakersacrossthedevelopedworldtooknoteandadjustedbehavioraccordingly.

——引自第9页

Ivehementlydisagree.Thepandemichassimplyacceleratedtheparadigmshiftsthatbeganinthe2010s:geopoliticalmultipolarity,deglobalization,andtheendoftheAnglo-Saxonlaissez-faireconsensus.

——引自第13页