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The Future for Investors

作者：Jeremy J. Siegel

出版社：Crown Business

出版年：2005-3-8

ISBN：9781400081981

所属分类：行业好书

书刊介绍

内容简介

The new paradigm for investing and building wealth in the twenty-first century.The Future for Investorsreveals new strategies that take advantage of the dramatic changes and opportunities that will appear in world markets.

Jeremy Siegel, one of the world’s top investing experts, has taken a long, hard, and in-depth look at the market and the stocks that investors should acquire to build long-term wealth. His surprising finding is that the new technologies, expanding industries, and fast-growing countries that stockholders relentlessly seek in the market often lead to poor returns. In fact, growth itself can be an investment trap, luring investors into overpriced stocks and overly competitive industries.

The Future for Investorsshatters conventional wisdom and provides a framework for picking stocks that will be long-term winners. While technological innovation spurs economic growth, it has not been kind to investors. Instead, companies that have marketed tried-and-true products for decades in slow-growth or even declining industries have superior returns to firms that develop “the bold and the new.” Industry sectors many regard as dinosaurs—railroads and oil companies, for example—have actually beat the market.

Professor Siegel presents these strategies within the context of the coming shift in global economic power and the demographic age wave that will sweep the United States, Europe, and Japan. Contrary to the popular belief that these economic and demographic trends doom investors to poor returns, Professor Siegel explains the True New Economy and how to take advantage of the coming surge in invention, discovery, and economic growth.

The faster the world changes, the more important it is for investors to heed the lessons of the past and find the tried-and-true companies that can help you beat the market and prosper in the years ahead.

作者简介

杰里米·西格尔是沃顿商学院的金融学教授。他在麻省理工学院取得经济学博士学位，是研究证券投资的权威、美联储和华尔街优秀投资机构的顾问。他在《华尔街日报》、《巴伦》、《金融时报》等主要的财经媒体上发表过多篇文章。

1999年年他在《华尔街日报》上发表的一篇警示网络股票的文章，引起了网络股票价格的大幅下跌，也引起了沃伦·巴菲特的关注，这为西格尔带来了进一步研究的动力，并最终促成了《投资者的未来》一书的完成。

本书甫一推出，就引起了国内外的热切关注和研究。

精彩摘录

尽管菲利普・莫里斯公司经历这么多涨跌起落，公司在这12年内从未降低股利，实际上，除1993年和1997年以外，该公司每年都提高股利。结果，从1992~2003年4月4日，进行股利再投资的投资者所持股份增加的数量超过100%，投资者总收益率达到较为健康的平均每年7.15%。这个收益率与市场水平相当，但是一旦等到菲利普・莫里斯公司的股价恢复，投资者就会获得极高的回报率。

——引自章节：第10章股利再投资：熊市保护伞和收益加速器

我们应该知道美国政府在其养老金计划的会计处理上设置了圏套，这些养老金计划不符合任何公司或者管理机构的要求。社会保障和医疗保险部门有很多债务没有资金支持，这些债务以十万亿美元计，与之相比，公司的债务额显得很小。与资金短缺的公司养老金计划相比，上述问题给我们的经济带来更大的风险，这是本书下一部分的主题。

——引自章节：第11章利润：股东收益的基本来源